BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Air Force
Class: 1 Class Rank: 169 Conference: Mountain West Record: (8-11) Overall: (13-18) Overall Strength = 37.95
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 11-07-2022 Away W 36.17 67 63 1 256 ( 12- 18) Denver -2.22 6.22
2 11-11-2022 Home W 51.41 90 50 1 357 ( 1- 29) Navy 13.03 * 26.97
3 11-16-2022 Home W 36.95 74 66 ZZ 6 ( 0- 2) Adams St -1.44 9.44
4 11-19-2022 Away L 57.07 63 71 1 27 ( 23- 8) Colorado 18.69 -26.69
5 11-25-2022 Neutral L 42.84 48 68 1 22 ( 22- 9) Michigan 4.46 -24.46
6 11-26-2022 Neutral L 45.34 59 65 1 72 ( 13- 17) Georgia Tech 6.95 -12.95
7 11-27-2022 Neutral L 23.37 58 77 1 126 ( 17- 17) Saint Louis -15.02 -3.98
8 12-04-2022 Home W 44.10 63 60 1 113 ( 19- 10) UTEP 5.71 -2.71
9 12-07-2022 Home W 38.39 63 51 ZZ 10 ( 0- 1) Col Springs -0.00 12.00
10 12-10-2022 Home L 32.75 70 73 1 157 ( 18- 11) Utah Tech -5.64 2.64
11 12-17-2022 Away L 40.93 58 64 1 108 ( 9- 21) Northwestern 2.54 -8.54
12 12-20-2022 Away L 43.29 44 62 1 40 ( 20- 10) Oklahoma St 4.90 -22.90
13 12-29-2022 Home W * 31.80 77 63 1 338 ( 4- 26) Utah St -6.59 20.59
14 01-01-2023 Away L * 36.06 58 70 1 112 ( 20- 11) New Mexico -2.33 -9.67
15 01-05-2023 Away W * 46.06 77 64 1 255 ( 6- 24) San Jose St 7.68 5.32
16 01-07-2023 Away L * 33.53 59 64 1 203 ( 10- 20) Nevada -4.85 -0.15
17 01-11-2023 Home L * 41.56 60 61 1 106 ( 20- 9) Wyoming 3.17 -4.17
18 01-14-2023 Home W * 35.08 71 68 1 216 ( 10- 22) Fresno St -3.30 6.30
19 01-16-2023 Home W * 34.94 77 70 1 255 ( 6- 24) San Jose St -3.44 10.44
20 01-19-2023 Away W * 29.92 66 59 1 338 ( 4- 26) Utah St -8.47 15.47
21 01-26-2023 Away L * 36.18 55 60 1 167 ( 17- 15) Boise St -2.21 -2.79
22 01-28-2023 Home W * 47.52 67 65 1 86 ( 19- 10) Colorado St 9.13 -7.13
23 02-02-2023 Away W * 52.21 74 59 1 216 ( 10- 22) Fresno St 13.82 1.18
24 02-04-2023 Home L * 10.23 57 98 1 64 ( 28- 2) UNLV -28.16 -12.84
25 02-11-2023 Away L * 41.68 56 62 1 106 ( 20- 9) Wyoming 3.29 -9.29
26 02-16-2023 Home L * 31.06 54 59 1 167 ( 17- 15) Boise St -7.33 2.33
27 02-18-2023 Away L * 47.64 64 67 1 86 ( 19- 10) Colorado St 9.25 -12.25
28 02-23-2023 Home L * 37.94 65 70 1 112 ( 20- 11) New Mexico -0.45 -4.55
29 02-25-2023 Home W * 43.41 76 66 1 203 ( 10- 20) Nevada 5.03 4.97
30 02-28-2023 Away L * 41.07 51 60 1 89 ( 22- 9) San Diego St 2.69 -11.69
31 03-05-2023 Neutral L * 19.50 51 62 1 255 ( 6- 24) San Jose St -18.88 7.88
Averages 38.39 63.6 65.1
Best game: 57.07 = 8 point loss to Colorado
Worst game: 10.23 = 41 point loss to UNLV
Team stdev: 9.59